Forecasting Time Series Data with Prophet: Build, improve, and optimize time series forecasting models using Meta's advanced forecasting tool, 2nd Edition
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Forecasting Time Series Data with Prophet: Build, improve, and optimize time series forecasting models using Meta's advanced forecasting tool, 2nd Edition
Create and improve fully automated forecasts for time series data with strong seasonal effects, holidays, and additional regressors using Python
Forecasting Time Series Data with Prophet: Build, improve, and optimize time series forecasting models using Meta's advanced forecasting tool, 2nd Edition
Nº de artículo: 243339230

Forecasting Time Series Data with Prophet: Build, improve, and optimize time series forecasting models using Meta's advanced forecasting tool, 2nd

Nº de artículo: 243339230

HNL 1652

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Create and improve fully automated forecasts for time series data with strong seasonal effects, holidays, and additional regressors using Python
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Shop Forecasting Time Series Data with Prophet: Build, improve, and optimize time series forecasting models using Meta's advanced forecasting tool, 2nd Edition online at a best price in Honduras. 1837630410
  • Create and improve fully automated forecasts for time series data with strong seasonal effects, holidays, and additional regressors using PythonPurchase of the print or Kindle book includes a free PDF eBookKey FeaturesExplore Prophet, the open source forecasting tool developed at Meta, to improve your forecastsCreate a forecast and run diagnostics to understand forecast qualityFine-tune models to achieve high performance and report this performance with concrete statisticsBook DescriptionForecasting Time Series Data with Prophet will help you to implement Prophet's cutting-edge forecasting techniques to model future data with high accuracy using only a few lines of code. This second edition has been fully revised with every update to the Prophet package since the first edition was published two years ago. An entirely new chapter is also included, diving into the mathematical equations behind Prophet's models. Additionally, the book contains new sections on forecasting during shocks such as COVID, creating custom trend modes from scratch, and a discussion of recent developments in the open-source forecasting community.You'll cover advanced features such as visualizing forecasts, adding holidays and trend changepoints, and handling outliers. You'll use the Fourier series to model seasonality, learn how to choose between an additive and multiplicative model, and understand when to modify each model parameter. Later, you'll see how to optimize more complicated models with hyperparameter tuning and by adding additional regressors to the model. Finally, you'll learn how to run diagnostics to evaluate the performance of your models in production.By the end of this book, you'll be able to take a raw time series dataset and build advanced and accurate forecasting models with concise, understandable, and repeatable code.What you will learnUnderstand the mathematics behind Prophet's modelsBuild practical forecasting models from real datasets using PythonUnderstand the different modes of growth that time series often exhibitDiscover how to identify and deal with outliers in time series dataFind out how to control uncertainty intervals to provide percent confidence in your forecastsProductionalize your Prophet models to scale your work faster and more efficientlyWho this book is forThis book is for business managers, data scientists, data analysts, machine learning engineers, and software engineers who want to build time-series forecasts in Python or R. To get the most out of this book, you should have a basic understanding of time series data and be able to differentiate it from other types of data. Basic knowledge of forecasting techniques is a plus.Table of ContentsThe History and Development of Time Series ForecastingGetting Started with ProphetHow Prophet WorksHandling Non-Daily DataWorking with SeasonalityForecasting Holiday EffectsControlling Growth ModesInfluencing Trend ChangepointsIncluding Additional RegressorsAccounting for Outliers and Special EventsManaging Uncertainty IntervalsPerforming Cross-ValidationEvaluating Performance MetricsProductionalizing Prophet
Publisher Packt Publishing
Publication date March 31, 2023
Edition 2nd
Language English
Print length 282 pages
ISBN-10 1837630410
ISBN-13 978-1837630417
Item Weight 1.08 pounds (490 grams)
Dimensions 7.5 x 0.67 x 9.25 inches (19.1 x 1.7 x 23.5 cm)

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Forecasting Time Series Data with Prophet: Build, improve, and optimize time series forecasting models using Meta's advanced forecasting tool, 2nd Edition

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características y beneficios

  • Implement Prophet's cutting-edge forecasting techniques with high accuracy using minimal code
  • Build advanced and accurate forecasting models from raw time series datasets
  • Understand the different modes of growth exhibited by time series data
  • Discover how to control uncertainty intervals for confident forecasts
  • Productionalize your Prophet models to scale your work faster and more efficiently

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